peterbirks (![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png)
peterbirks) wrote2010-09-30 08:45 pm
peterbirks) wrote2010-09-30 08:45 pm
Brief poker update
At the end of the third quarter I'm up $10.9k for the year, about half my profit at this time last year. I've played 317k hands, probably about 100k hands more than last year. I've played 937 hours, probably about 120 hours more than last year. Hourly rate is $11.60. Rate per 100 hands is $3.40. Of the $10.9k profit, $7.6k of it is in rakeback or bonuses.
For the past three months I've won about $900, being about a grand down in live play. This is not as depressing as it might seem in that I've refocused over the past month and a bit and recouped a far more serious deficit.
For September I cut down on the play at Stars, which was my main leak (Stars is, quite simply, much tougher at my levels than any other site). The gain I was making from being Supernova was more than cancelled out by the increased toughness of the game.
I also cut down on the number of hands that I played: not only is Stars tougher, but the maintenance of Supernova required considerably more hands to be played. This led to burnout and zomboid-like playing that is, necessarily, not exactly your 'A' game.
This last month I played 'just' 23,500 hands and my profit from in-game play was the highest since February.
I continue to "run bad", particularly on Stars. For the year over all sites, I am up about $2,600 in in-game play, about $1,000 below all-in EV measurement. On Stars I am losing $1,200 in in-game play, some $2,700 below EV. That's equal to 20 buy-ins below EV over 160k hands.
Over the past three months things are less horrible -- just 2 buy-ins down on EV over all sites (but 5 buy-ins below EV on Stars, lol).
Most of my play at the moment is at $100 buy in (50c-$1) -- six-tabling full-ring. My one recent foray into $1-$2 on a Friday night generated a $1k loss on Party Poker. That was simply running bad, and you get 5 BI losses every now and again without doing anything wrong.
I'm no longer trying to "catch up" with last year or maintain my previous win rate. A $10k win is a $10k win. It's not a $10k loss compared with this time last year. The bankroll is still going up -- just not as quickly. I'm much happier with my game now that I'm not zomboiding myself on Stars.
Once I have a certain bonus worked off on Stars (should be completed by the end of October, even at only 'reasonnable' hand playing levels) I am going to give Pokerstars a rest for a while. I've got used to the FTP 'style', and the games there are definitely a bit softer.
I'd really like to get back to $1-$2, because I am confident that I can beat it. But my self-imposed exile will continue until I have proved to myself that my confidence is not misplaced -- and that involves winning a few more buy-ins at the toughest 50c-$1 games -- Stars from Monday to Thursday.
_______________
For the past three months I've won about $900, being about a grand down in live play. This is not as depressing as it might seem in that I've refocused over the past month and a bit and recouped a far more serious deficit.
For September I cut down on the play at Stars, which was my main leak (Stars is, quite simply, much tougher at my levels than any other site). The gain I was making from being Supernova was more than cancelled out by the increased toughness of the game.
I also cut down on the number of hands that I played: not only is Stars tougher, but the maintenance of Supernova required considerably more hands to be played. This led to burnout and zomboid-like playing that is, necessarily, not exactly your 'A' game.
This last month I played 'just' 23,500 hands and my profit from in-game play was the highest since February.
I continue to "run bad", particularly on Stars. For the year over all sites, I am up about $2,600 in in-game play, about $1,000 below all-in EV measurement. On Stars I am losing $1,200 in in-game play, some $2,700 below EV. That's equal to 20 buy-ins below EV over 160k hands.
Over the past three months things are less horrible -- just 2 buy-ins down on EV over all sites (but 5 buy-ins below EV on Stars, lol).
Most of my play at the moment is at $100 buy in (50c-$1) -- six-tabling full-ring. My one recent foray into $1-$2 on a Friday night generated a $1k loss on Party Poker. That was simply running bad, and you get 5 BI losses every now and again without doing anything wrong.
I'm no longer trying to "catch up" with last year or maintain my previous win rate. A $10k win is a $10k win. It's not a $10k loss compared with this time last year. The bankroll is still going up -- just not as quickly. I'm much happier with my game now that I'm not zomboiding myself on Stars.
Once I have a certain bonus worked off on Stars (should be completed by the end of October, even at only 'reasonnable' hand playing levels) I am going to give Pokerstars a rest for a while. I've got used to the FTP 'style', and the games there are definitely a bit softer.
I'd really like to get back to $1-$2, because I am confident that I can beat it. But my self-imposed exile will continue until I have proved to myself that my confidence is not misplaced -- and that involves winning a few more buy-ins at the toughest 50c-$1 games -- Stars from Monday to Thursday.
_______________
no subject
Hurrah!
I guess there are big differences in your BB/100h stats over the varying months of this year. You have posted your rate per hundred hands, but I guess your BB/100h for this month is likely to be among your best, considering the low number of hands played, the near-year-high profit and the relatively high proportion of relatively low stakes games played. (On the other hand, it's hard to compare BB/100h stakes when factoring in rakeback and bonuses as you generate different quantities at different levels.)
I'm always impressed that you're beating the rake at all, and you must be considerably up other than for the rake.
no subject
no subject
Although the black card looks cool, I can't say that I was bowled over by the value of it. As you say, it's a para-Supernova. For 50c-$1 NL, I reckon it would require 900 to 1,000 hands a day (a fraction more than Supernova on Stars, but then again it's only a three-month rolling average, rather than a whole year on Stars) equal to about 2.75 hours a day when six-tabling.
It would reduce to about 700 hands at $1-$2 and 450 to 500 hands at $2-$4.
Incidentally, the de rigeur level of grinding on Stars seems to have moved up to FR $2-$4 NL multi-tabling. These games are tightness of tightness. But once you move to $3-$6 and $5-$10, the multi-table full ring grinders vanish like melting snow. Then again, $5-$10 full ring multi-tabling is probably as tough as it gets.
PJ