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Blood on the tracks
Mar. 2nd, 2007 10:14 amSince there appears to be carnage everywhere, perhaps I shoould be grateful that I am not bankrupt; that, indeed, I showed a minor profit for February ($250). However, it was an unsatisfactory month. If PJB PLC were an insurer, it would report an underwriting loss, saved only by return on investments (i.e., rakeback and bonuses).
Just as January felt like I was running good, so most of February felt like I was running bad. But with that comes the rider that times tend to be tougher. Party during the early evening these days is very tough indeed. I really can't see myself doing any better than breaking even against nine other players with statistics that are similar to mine. Not only that, but they are playing the same moves as me! I mean, what's a man to do?
With Party apparently closing the door to French players, and instituting a new push in the UK (flyers in The Sun and an Amazon package this week), perhaps we will get a spell of softer newcomers. On the downside, bots such as A6pak (on Wednesday, six tables open , playing at all six, as he/it is most evenings) and a few other serious suspects (Zebroy?) are just there all the time, so any serious fish money is hoovered up by some shithead in the Russian Federation who isn't even sitting at his computer. The farce is, a6pak isn't even a winner at the times I am on the game. He's flat break-even over 5,000 hands. But if he has a rakeback deal he must be generating thousands of dollars a month, simply by breaking even (I would guess he plays 3,000 or more hands a day). Meanwhile, well, it's beatable, but the variance is necesarily high.
I check out all the other sites with which I have accounts on a fairly regular basis, and, although soft players appear occasionally, as a rule the early evening UK time seems to consist mainly of grinders. Money can be made here, mainly through rakeback and bonuses, it must be admitted. But it isn't fun and it isn't easy. They certainly don't give their money away. I would guess that any edge I can gain would now be on the river and on the river alone. Their performance on flop and turn doesn't have much minus EV to it. But they do seem to have flaws in river bets, raises and calls.
But that's a very marginal area. I doubt that one hand in five gets to the river these days during the times that I play.
Still, March may see things change. It's a short month (off to Vegas on the 23rd) and April will be shorter still (just two weeks in the UK). So I can happily accept that the winnings of two years ago, and possibly even last year, are unlikely to be repeated.
And, of course, Neteller still has $2.5K of my money "pending", while the US pores over all suspect funds. Sigh.
Just as January felt like I was running good, so most of February felt like I was running bad. But with that comes the rider that times tend to be tougher. Party during the early evening these days is very tough indeed. I really can't see myself doing any better than breaking even against nine other players with statistics that are similar to mine. Not only that, but they are playing the same moves as me! I mean, what's a man to do?
With Party apparently closing the door to French players, and instituting a new push in the UK (flyers in The Sun and an Amazon package this week), perhaps we will get a spell of softer newcomers. On the downside, bots such as A6pak (on Wednesday, six tables open , playing at all six, as he/it is most evenings) and a few other serious suspects (Zebroy?) are just there all the time, so any serious fish money is hoovered up by some shithead in the Russian Federation who isn't even sitting at his computer. The farce is, a6pak isn't even a winner at the times I am on the game. He's flat break-even over 5,000 hands. But if he has a rakeback deal he must be generating thousands of dollars a month, simply by breaking even (I would guess he plays 3,000 or more hands a day). Meanwhile, well, it's beatable, but the variance is necesarily high.
I check out all the other sites with which I have accounts on a fairly regular basis, and, although soft players appear occasionally, as a rule the early evening UK time seems to consist mainly of grinders. Money can be made here, mainly through rakeback and bonuses, it must be admitted. But it isn't fun and it isn't easy. They certainly don't give their money away. I would guess that any edge I can gain would now be on the river and on the river alone. Their performance on flop and turn doesn't have much minus EV to it. But they do seem to have flaws in river bets, raises and calls.
But that's a very marginal area. I doubt that one hand in five gets to the river these days during the times that I play.
Still, March may see things change. It's a short month (off to Vegas on the 23rd) and April will be shorter still (just two weeks in the UK). So I can happily accept that the winnings of two years ago, and possibly even last year, are unlikely to be repeated.
And, of course, Neteller still has $2.5K of my money "pending", while the US pores over all suspect funds. Sigh.
