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[personal profile] peterbirks
I see that Ingrid Matthäus-Maier has resigned as the head of KfW, the state-owned bank that backed IKB, the German bank that was the first manifestation of the subprime crisis (see EHAL, July 2007).

KfW owned more than a third of IKB and, as I mentioned at the time, its $3bn bail-out seemed remarkably large for a small bank -- possibly an indication of further troubles to come elsewhere. Well, that bit turned out true.

And so, Mrs Matthäus-Maier has gone.
“The turmoil concerning . . . IKB and the ongoing discussion about me of the past months have led me to feel I no longer have the full health I require for the work,” she said.


Mrs Matthäus-Maier was a political appointment. In the 1990s she was a finance spokesman for the SPD. She was appointed to the KfW board in 1999 and became CEO in 2006.

KfW has so far pumped $11.3bn into IKB, under the current global principle of "No bank shall fail". Although it owned 38% of IKB before the crisis, it will own more than 90% soon enough, because the private sector knows better than to throw good money after bad. The public sector, unfortunately, doesn't worry about this so much, mainly because it's the public's money that is being spent rather than the money of the people who make the decision.

Political appointments to positions of financial responsibility in the private sector are invariably a prelude to disaster, because a political appointee just doesn't think along the right lines.

It's interesting that the instinctive response of a one-time public servant was to say "I'm sick". You see many departures from private companies when the CEO has royally fucked up, but you very rarely see them citing "ill health" as the cause of their departure. This is basically an admission of "the pressure's too much for me .. can I have a nice non-executive sinecure please .. that public sector wasn't so bad after all...".

There are a number of CEOs who are vastly over-rewarded, but the plus side of this is that, eventually, they get found out. The ones who get vast rewards and are still in place a decade later survive for a reason, and that reason is that they have made a damn sight more for their backers than they have made for themselves.

Then again, it would be a laugh to see Alistair Darling given a shot at trying to run British Airways for a year...

__________

Date: 2008-04-09 03:20 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] jellymillion.livejournal.com
the current global principle of "No bank shall fail"

I suspect that may only refer to bigger banks: poor little Weserbank doesn't seem to be getting much public love.

No, I'd never heard of them either, EUR120M in assets doesn't shriek mega-bank, does it?

Date: 2008-04-09 03:31 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] peterbirks.livejournal.com
Ahh, a small co-operative. It hasn't "failed" as such. It's juse been ordered to stop doing business -- which is the rough equivalent of being told that you don't pass the required solvency tests.

And customer deposits are protected.

My general point I think was that "no bank shall be allowed to fail in such a way that will either cost retail depositors a penny/cent/pfennig, or will cause a systemic lack of confidence in the banking system".

However, it's nice to see BaFin telling the bank to stop trading. At least there's some teeth there. Can you imagine the FSA having the bollocks to do that? I can't.

PJ

Failure

Date: 2008-04-09 06:54 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] real-aardvark.livejournal.com
In what way is "being ordered to stop doing business" not a failure?

I'm obviously in the wrong business writing software, and attempting to write books (I've just added another one to the list: four at the last count). I'm beginning to think that my decision not to go into the City in 1985, simply because it would have driven me utterly mad by the age of thirty, was a pathetic case of sanity and morals and sheer prejudice overcoming simple greed.

Perhaps a zero-sum game is, indeed, where you are allowed to stop at zero. It has been ever thus, at least since Snakes and Ladders was invented.

(And I note that apparently Rafael Benitez won't let his older daughter win at Snakes and Ladders. I'm not sure what this implies about tactics in the Premier League these days, but it's marginally worrying and deranged.)

Re: Failure

Date: 2008-04-10 10:53 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] peterbirks.livejournal.com
Well, if you want to see a bank failure, I refer you to BCCI, or the Savings and Loan disasters in the US in the 1980s. Being told that you do not have enough capital to continue operating is a regulatory ruling. In other words, if the regulations were different, the bank could carry on trading. If it had gone cap in hand to the regulator and said "we can't pay the depositors" then it would have been a failure.

This is more like an orderly run-off.

PJ

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