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Apr. 5th, 2010 12:05 amQ1 stats
First, the hard figures:
MONEY WON
HANDS PLAYED
RATE PER 100 HANDS (numbers in italics are over a statistically insignificant sample)
Daily stats probably aren't too significant for just three months, but FWIW the best days this year are Friday and Saturday. Ekeing out smaller wins on Sunday and Tuesday, losing minor amounts on Monday, Wednesday and Thursday.
Key takeaways so far. Fuck me the volume has gone up. Solid 6-tabling, nearly all at $1-$2 NL, plus some added hours, have taken their toll on the hourly rate, no doubt. The progressive nature of rakeback is a dangerous thing.
Note also there's a slight discrepancy between the last table and the first three. That's because the last table stops at March 31, whereas the previous ones go right the way up until today.
The difference between Stars and Party (the only sites where I have put in significant volume this year) is deceptive. My EV on Party is about $1,000, so I am three or so buy-ins ahead of expectation, while on Stars my EV win is $1,800, while my actual win is some six buy-ins down on this.
In addition, I'm owed about $1,100 in rakeback from Stars via FPPs that I haven't yet written to book. The quivalent with Party is about $480.
As you can see, I ran like a pig from March 9th to about March 25th.
Here's a quick look at the HEM graph for the year (all sites)
That puts things in a kind of perspective. I was running about 2.5 buy-ins ahead of expectation by March 9th, and by March 25th I was 5 buy-ins down on EV. Of course, EV does not tell the whole story; there's things like Kings running into Aces and a thousand other "bad luck vs good luck" situations that aren't reflected here. You can't believe how frustrating it is for nearly every loose raise that you put in pre-flop being reraised, while when you have Aces, you take down the blinds uncontested.
I could probably run a report on the percentage of times my pairs flopped a set, comparing the differences between Jan, Feb and March. That might be revealing as well.
By way of interest, here's HEM for Q1 2009. Wow, what a difference.
If I have another losing month at the tables at $1-$2 NL, I shall probably drop back down a level again. However, this would feel a seriously retrograde step, as at the moment I am sure that I have a handle on $1-$2 players and that they are beatable. It's more a case of plugging my own leaks, which I can recognize, and of being a bit more ghung ho in certain situations, while being less of a calling station on the river in others. To be frank, the best rule at $1-$2 NL is, unless you have a very good reason for calling any kind of sizeable bet in relation to the pot size on the river, you should fold. You quickly spot the players who might be floating or in some other way trying it on, and very few of them do it on the river.
First, the hard figures:
MONEY WON
| SITE | BONUS | RAKEBACK | $100 | $200 | $400 | TOURNEY | Grand Total |
| PARTY | $2,288 | $600 | $679 | $1,153 | $16 | --- | $4.736 |
| STARS | $815 | --- | -$168 | $738 | --- | $120 | $1,505 |
| Pacific | --- | --- | -$232 | $65 | --- | --- | -$167 |
| Betfred | $50 | --- | -$85 | --- | --- | $12 | -$23 |
| TOTAL | $3,153 | $750 | $194 | $1956 | $16 | $132 | $6,201 |
HANDS PLAYED
| SITE | BONUS | RAKEBACK | $100 | $200 | $400 | TOURNEY | Grand Total |
| PARTY | --- | --- | 8,942 | 50,519 | 727 | --- | 60,288 |
| STARS | --- | --- | 10,364 | 49,842 | --- | 1,900 | 62,106 |
| Pacific | --- | --- | 698 | 296 | --- | --- | 994 |
| Betfred | --- | --- | 3,761 | --- | --- | 100 | 3,861 |
| TOTAL | --- | --- | 23,765 | 100,757 | 727 | 2,000 | 127,249 |
RATE PER 100 HANDS (numbers in italics are over a statistically insignificant sample)
| SITE | BONUS | RAKEBACK | $100 | $200 | $400 | TOURNEY | Grand Total |
| PARTY | N/A | N/A | $7.59 | $2.28 | $2.20 | N/A | $7.86 |
| STARS | N/A | N/A | -$1.62 | $1.48 | --- | $6.32 | $2.42 |
| Pacific | N/A | N/A | -$33.24 | $21.96 | --- | --- | -$16.80 |
| BETFRED | N/A | N/A | -$2.26 | --- | --- | $12 | -$0.60 |
| TOTAL | N/A | N/A | $0.82 | $1.94 | $2.20 | $6.60 | $4.87 |
| YEAR | HOURS | HANDS | HPH | WIN | W/R HOUR | W/R 100 |
| Q1 2007 | 183.25 | 29,201 | 160 | $1,555 | $8.49 | $5.33 |
| Q1 2008 | 218.00 | 50,081 | 230 | $3,936 | $18.06 | $7.86 |
| Q1 2009 | 256.44 | 56,416 | 220 | $9,276 | $36.17 | $16.44 |
| Q1 2010 | 344.50 | 122,820 | 357 | $5,362 | $15.56 | $4.37 |
Daily stats probably aren't too significant for just three months, but FWIW the best days this year are Friday and Saturday. Ekeing out smaller wins on Sunday and Tuesday, losing minor amounts on Monday, Wednesday and Thursday.
Key takeaways so far. Fuck me the volume has gone up. Solid 6-tabling, nearly all at $1-$2 NL, plus some added hours, have taken their toll on the hourly rate, no doubt. The progressive nature of rakeback is a dangerous thing.
Note also there's a slight discrepancy between the last table and the first three. That's because the last table stops at March 31, whereas the previous ones go right the way up until today.
The difference between Stars and Party (the only sites where I have put in significant volume this year) is deceptive. My EV on Party is about $1,000, so I am three or so buy-ins ahead of expectation, while on Stars my EV win is $1,800, while my actual win is some six buy-ins down on this.
In addition, I'm owed about $1,100 in rakeback from Stars via FPPs that I haven't yet written to book. The quivalent with Party is about $480.
As you can see, I ran like a pig from March 9th to about March 25th.
Here's a quick look at the HEM graph for the year (all sites)
That puts things in a kind of perspective. I was running about 2.5 buy-ins ahead of expectation by March 9th, and by March 25th I was 5 buy-ins down on EV. Of course, EV does not tell the whole story; there's things like Kings running into Aces and a thousand other "bad luck vs good luck" situations that aren't reflected here. You can't believe how frustrating it is for nearly every loose raise that you put in pre-flop being reraised, while when you have Aces, you take down the blinds uncontested.
I could probably run a report on the percentage of times my pairs flopped a set, comparing the differences between Jan, Feb and March. That might be revealing as well.
By way of interest, here's HEM for Q1 2009. Wow, what a difference.
If I have another losing month at the tables at $1-$2 NL, I shall probably drop back down a level again. However, this would feel a seriously retrograde step, as at the moment I am sure that I have a handle on $1-$2 players and that they are beatable. It's more a case of plugging my own leaks, which I can recognize, and of being a bit more ghung ho in certain situations, while being less of a calling station on the river in others. To be frank, the best rule at $1-$2 NL is, unless you have a very good reason for calling any kind of sizeable bet in relation to the pot size on the river, you should fold. You quickly spot the players who might be floating or in some other way trying it on, and very few of them do it on the river.
