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peterbirksA few weeks ago there was a photograph on the front page of The Sun (a British Newspaper also known as "McCann Digest") that featured a Morroccan family with a blong haired child on the back of one of the women. The child looked vaguely like Madelaine McCann.
Leaving aside the obvious racial undertones of the entire affair (blond-haired child, dark-skinned peasant-like family, Africa, etc etc), what was interesting was that it didn't take long to track down the family and to establish that the child was not Madelaine McCann. However, what was fascinating was that this peasant family, living in a small village in North Africa, had heard of the case.
I was reminded of this matter yesterday when a man alleged to be a child sex abuser was arrested in the wilds of north-eastern Thailand, about as far off the beaten track as you can get, only a day after his image ad been published. Not only was there a tip-off, there were reportedly more than 300 tip-offs. And they found the guy, so it is claimed, by GPSing his mobile phone. Never has the phrase "you can run, but you can't hide" been so true.
The best place in the world to hide is probably London. No-one pays any attention to anyone here. At the height of McCann fever, an appeal was broadcast to a football crowd. Andy Ward observed that, if he saw Madelaine McCann on Barnet High Street, he would be sure to tell someone. But, when you think about it, if you cut the hair and dyed it black, Madelain McCan could be eating in the McDonald's in Oxford Street and no-one would pay here any attention -- or indeed, no more attention than they pay anyone else -- which is none at all.
++++++++++++++
Three interesting hands today all consisted of a pair of jacks. No Limit players seem to suffer paroxysms of despair when it comes to Jacks, and I think that Sklansky must bear some of the blame. He plonks it there as a “Group One” hand, but that was when he was writing about limit. At No Limit, particularly deep-stacked no limit, JJ has innumerable pitfalls awaiting the unwary. Basically, it’s a hand where more often than not you don’t know where you are at. Logically, I would say, this means that it’s a hand that changes much more in value from early to late. The later your position, the better that JJ is.
Anyhoo, I’ll print these in order. The first one I carved horribly. I leave it to the reader to find examples beyond those that I mention. Luckily I was already $30 down or I would probably have lost a hundred bucks rather than seventy. Occasionally you get brain freezes. This was one of them.
9-max Seat #7 is the button
Seat 1: Hero ($71.70 in chips)
Seat 2: rtrenton ($93 in chips)
Seat 3: imbubbles420 ($19.60 in chips)
Seat 4: Villain1 ($268.50 in chips)
Seat 5: ncboiler ($111.30 in chips)
Seat 6: pinchitos ($156.75 in chips)
Seat 7: Slats28 ($8.45 in chips)
Seat 8: Tixmaster ($99 in chips)
Seat 9: vahid1344 ($27.15 in chips)
Tixmaster: posts small blind $0.50
vahid1344: posts big blind $1
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Hero [J◊ J♠]
Hero: raises $2 to $3
this is possibly the last play in this hand that I would repeat if I were thinking about things clearly.
rtrenton: folds
imbubbles420: folds
Villain1: calls $3
villain is not only winning bundles, he’s also quite loose. His chips looked to be very much ‘in play’. He’d been cold-calling raises a lot, so all that his call tells me is that he has a hand that he’d probably be willing to limp with in the first place. This was to be my downfall.
ncboiler: folds
pinchitos: folds
Slats28: raises $5.45 to $8.45 and is all-in.
Oh. This puts it back on me. This raise could well be some kind of desperation move, but it seems to me that I have to reraise. Unfortunately, at just this moment, things happened at both my other tables. Well, that’s my excuse.
Tixmaster: folds
vahid1344: folds
Hero: raises $8.55 to $17
This is awful. I should reraise to something like $30 here, planning to shove virtually any flop. Or perhaps I should just shove it pre-flop. To be honest, I think that a preflop shove (given that I have only $70 left) is right. At this point, I pray for loose caller to go away. But, as is the way when you have Jacks, they seem to smell weakness.
Villain1: calls $14
*** FLOP *** [2♠ 9♡ K♣]
At this point I kind of go mental and make that famous error of weak poker players – I put my bet in a bet too late, in some kind of vague attempt to make up for my previous error. Of course, two errors do not make a right. Two errors make two errors.
Hero: bets $54.70 and is all-in
Villain1: calls $54.70
*** TURN *** [2♠ 9♡ K♣] [6♠]
*** RIVER *** [2♠ 9♡ K♣ 6♠] [2♡]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Hero: shows [J◊ J♠] (two pair, Jacks and Deuces)
Villain1: shows [9♠ 9◊] (a full house, Nines full of Deuces)
Villain1 collected $124.80 from side pot
Slats28: mucks hand
Villain1 collected $25.55 from main pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $153.35 Main pot $25.55. Side pot $124.80. | Rake $3
Board [2♠ 9♡ K♣ 6♠ 2♡]
Seat 1: Hero showed [J◊ J♠] and lost with two pair, Jacks and Deuces
Seat 4: Villain1 showed [9♠ 9◊] and won ($150.35) with a full house, Nines full of Deuces
Seat 7: Slats28 (button) mucked [Q◊ A◊]
Not a good start to the day.
Manfully, I started clawing back from a $200 deficit. By the time I was on Party, I was back to about $120 down.
$100 USD NL Texas Hold'em –
Seat 6 is the button
Total number of players : 10
Seat 1: T1ltb0y ( $18 USD )
Seat 2: Guerteltier1 ( $59.93 USD )
Seat 3: Hero ( $89.50 USD )
Seat 4: itzuins ( $18.50 USD )
Seat 5: pynota ( $25.37 USD )
Seat 6: VanChristian ( $45.46 USD )
Seat 7: Villain2 ( $79.49 USD )
Seat 8: Ritschii ( $53.53 USD )
Seat 9: HarryDent ( $33.65 USD )
Seat 10: male10 ( $46.05 USD )
Villain2 posts small blind [$0.50 USD].
Ritschii posts big blind [$1 USD].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Hero [ J♠ J♡ ]
HarryDent folds.
male10 folds.
Guerteltier1 folds.
Hero raises [$4 USD]
This is a $3 raise. Party describes the bets differently (i.e., badly).
itzuins folds.
pynota folds.
VanChristian folds.
Villain2 calls [$3.50 USD]
Ritschii folds.
** Dealing Flop ** [ T◊, T♠, 9◊ ]
Villain2 checks.
Hero bets [$5 USD]
Villain2 raises [$15 USD] (i.e., a $10 raise)
This guy isn’t bad. He’s quite capable of a check-raise with air. In fact, I’d put him as the type to make a small lead out with trip tens, and a check-raise with something else (say, 77 or 88 or, most likely, AK/QJ).
Hero raises [$20 USD] (i.e., another $10 raise)
So, let’s put him to the test
Villain2 calls [$10 USD]
This smells of AK to me. $56 in pot and I have $60 behind.
** Dealing Turn ** [ 5♣ ]
Villain2 checks.
Hero is all-In.
No point in pissing around here. If by some miracle opponent has QQ, I might even get him to fold. Although AK is still my favourite.
Villain2 folds.
Hero does not show cards.
Hero wins $116.55 USD
Only a $28 win, but satisfying.
But the following hand was the most satisfying of all.
$100 USD NL Texas Hold'em
Seat 2 is the button
Total number of players : 10
Seat 1: drpoker443 ( $19.50 USD )
Seat 2: grebgokz ( $14.98 USD )
Seat 3: sinsyn ( $21.15 USD )
Seat 4: Apollo0208 ( $98.18 USD )
Seat 5: StevieWard ( $82.70 USD )
Seat 6: hollinz111 ( $129.04 USD )
Seat 7: Hero ( $97.50 USD )
Seat 8: Cifer11 ( $109.03 USD )
Seat 9: xXPoRtStArXx ( $56.79 USD )
Seat 10: Villain3 ( $52.80 USD )
sinsyn posts small blind [$0.50 USD].
Apollo0208 posts big blind [$1 USD].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Hero [ J♠ J◊ ]
StevieWard calls [$1 USD]
hollinz111 folds.
Hero raises [$5 USD]
Raise of a single limper to $5 or raise to $3 tend to be my bets here, depending on the tone of the table and the size of stacks.
Cifer11 folds.
xXPoRtStArXx folds.
Villain3 calls [$5 USD]
drpoker443 folds.
grebgokz folds.
sinsyn folds.
Apollo0208 folds.
StevieWard calls [$4 USD]
Three-handed with JJ isn’t much fun.....
** Dealing Flop ** [ 6♠, 2♡, 8♣ ]
...although flops like that make it better. But there’s still a fair chance that I’m facing a set (or there would be on No IQ). I did the maths on this and the chance of a cold-caller behind you having a set when three low cards flop is much higher than I instinctively thought.
StevieWard checks.
Hero bets [$12 USD]
Villain3 calls [$12 USD]
This guy is one of those “is he loose or is he tight?” players. Something like 23%/8% on not-too-big a sample. Given that it’s Party, I lean towards this being more likely a chase than a slow-play. But the board is good for a slow-play.
StevieWard folds.
** Dealing Turn ** [ 8♠ ]
This is a good card for me because it gives me an excuse to check a decent hand – i.e., a check is not an invitation to bet (and it also makes 88 in opponent's hand much less likely). There’s also a chance that opponent actually has an eight. But I’m in a tricky spot here. If Opponent bets a smallish amount, I’m calling, and I think I’ll call a bet of up to two-thirds the pot on the river from opponent, but no more.
Hero checks.
Villain3 checks.
I can’t see this guy being good enough to slow-play an eight here. If I had to guess, I’d say he has an overpair, but that could be QQ, TT or JJ.
** Dealing River ** [ J♣ ]
Well, it isn’t JJ. Now I have to maximize my return.
Hero bets [$15 USD]
I thought about this quite hard. My bet has to be small enough to look like it might be an attempted steal (Could generate a raise from QQ? Unlikely if opponent didn’t bet it on turn, I admit) but big enough to get a call from a losing hand. But things worked out even better than that.
Villain3 is all-In for $35.80.
Hero calls [$20.80 USD]
Woo hoo. He obviously tried a ‘resteal’.
Hero shows [ J♠, J◊ ]a full house, Jacks full of Eights.
Villain3 doesn't show [ A◊, K♠ ]a pair of Eights.
Hero wins $109.10 USD from the main pot with a full house, Jacks full of Eights.
Leaving aside the obvious racial undertones of the entire affair (blond-haired child, dark-skinned peasant-like family, Africa, etc etc), what was interesting was that it didn't take long to track down the family and to establish that the child was not Madelaine McCann. However, what was fascinating was that this peasant family, living in a small village in North Africa, had heard of the case.
I was reminded of this matter yesterday when a man alleged to be a child sex abuser was arrested in the wilds of north-eastern Thailand, about as far off the beaten track as you can get, only a day after his image ad been published. Not only was there a tip-off, there were reportedly more than 300 tip-offs. And they found the guy, so it is claimed, by GPSing his mobile phone. Never has the phrase "you can run, but you can't hide" been so true.
The best place in the world to hide is probably London. No-one pays any attention to anyone here. At the height of McCann fever, an appeal was broadcast to a football crowd. Andy Ward observed that, if he saw Madelaine McCann on Barnet High Street, he would be sure to tell someone. But, when you think about it, if you cut the hair and dyed it black, Madelain McCan could be eating in the McDonald's in Oxford Street and no-one would pay here any attention -- or indeed, no more attention than they pay anyone else -- which is none at all.
++++++++++++++
Three interesting hands today all consisted of a pair of jacks. No Limit players seem to suffer paroxysms of despair when it comes to Jacks, and I think that Sklansky must bear some of the blame. He plonks it there as a “Group One” hand, but that was when he was writing about limit. At No Limit, particularly deep-stacked no limit, JJ has innumerable pitfalls awaiting the unwary. Basically, it’s a hand where more often than not you don’t know where you are at. Logically, I would say, this means that it’s a hand that changes much more in value from early to late. The later your position, the better that JJ is.
Anyhoo, I’ll print these in order. The first one I carved horribly. I leave it to the reader to find examples beyond those that I mention. Luckily I was already $30 down or I would probably have lost a hundred bucks rather than seventy. Occasionally you get brain freezes. This was one of them.
9-max Seat #7 is the button
Seat 1: Hero ($71.70 in chips)
Seat 2: rtrenton ($93 in chips)
Seat 3: imbubbles420 ($19.60 in chips)
Seat 4: Villain1 ($268.50 in chips)
Seat 5: ncboiler ($111.30 in chips)
Seat 6: pinchitos ($156.75 in chips)
Seat 7: Slats28 ($8.45 in chips)
Seat 8: Tixmaster ($99 in chips)
Seat 9: vahid1344 ($27.15 in chips)
Tixmaster: posts small blind $0.50
vahid1344: posts big blind $1
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Hero [J◊ J♠]
Hero: raises $2 to $3
this is possibly the last play in this hand that I would repeat if I were thinking about things clearly.
rtrenton: folds
imbubbles420: folds
Villain1: calls $3
villain is not only winning bundles, he’s also quite loose. His chips looked to be very much ‘in play’. He’d been cold-calling raises a lot, so all that his call tells me is that he has a hand that he’d probably be willing to limp with in the first place. This was to be my downfall.
ncboiler: folds
pinchitos: folds
Slats28: raises $5.45 to $8.45 and is all-in.
Oh. This puts it back on me. This raise could well be some kind of desperation move, but it seems to me that I have to reraise. Unfortunately, at just this moment, things happened at both my other tables. Well, that’s my excuse.
Tixmaster: folds
vahid1344: folds
Hero: raises $8.55 to $17
This is awful. I should reraise to something like $30 here, planning to shove virtually any flop. Or perhaps I should just shove it pre-flop. To be honest, I think that a preflop shove (given that I have only $70 left) is right. At this point, I pray for loose caller to go away. But, as is the way when you have Jacks, they seem to smell weakness.
Villain1: calls $14
*** FLOP *** [2♠ 9♡ K♣]
At this point I kind of go mental and make that famous error of weak poker players – I put my bet in a bet too late, in some kind of vague attempt to make up for my previous error. Of course, two errors do not make a right. Two errors make two errors.
Hero: bets $54.70 and is all-in
Villain1: calls $54.70
*** TURN *** [2♠ 9♡ K♣] [6♠]
*** RIVER *** [2♠ 9♡ K♣ 6♠] [2♡]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Hero: shows [J◊ J♠] (two pair, Jacks and Deuces)
Villain1: shows [9♠ 9◊] (a full house, Nines full of Deuces)
Villain1 collected $124.80 from side pot
Slats28: mucks hand
Villain1 collected $25.55 from main pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $153.35 Main pot $25.55. Side pot $124.80. | Rake $3
Board [2♠ 9♡ K♣ 6♠ 2♡]
Seat 1: Hero showed [J◊ J♠] and lost with two pair, Jacks and Deuces
Seat 4: Villain1 showed [9♠ 9◊] and won ($150.35) with a full house, Nines full of Deuces
Seat 7: Slats28 (button) mucked [Q◊ A◊]
Not a good start to the day.
Manfully, I started clawing back from a $200 deficit. By the time I was on Party, I was back to about $120 down.
$100 USD NL Texas Hold'em –
Seat 6 is the button
Total number of players : 10
Seat 1: T1ltb0y ( $18 USD )
Seat 2: Guerteltier1 ( $59.93 USD )
Seat 3: Hero ( $89.50 USD )
Seat 4: itzuins ( $18.50 USD )
Seat 5: pynota ( $25.37 USD )
Seat 6: VanChristian ( $45.46 USD )
Seat 7: Villain2 ( $79.49 USD )
Seat 8: Ritschii ( $53.53 USD )
Seat 9: HarryDent ( $33.65 USD )
Seat 10: male10 ( $46.05 USD )
Villain2 posts small blind [$0.50 USD].
Ritschii posts big blind [$1 USD].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Hero [ J♠ J♡ ]
HarryDent folds.
male10 folds.
Guerteltier1 folds.
Hero raises [$4 USD]
This is a $3 raise. Party describes the bets differently (i.e., badly).
itzuins folds.
pynota folds.
VanChristian folds.
Villain2 calls [$3.50 USD]
Ritschii folds.
** Dealing Flop ** [ T◊, T♠, 9◊ ]
Villain2 checks.
Hero bets [$5 USD]
Villain2 raises [$15 USD] (i.e., a $10 raise)
This guy isn’t bad. He’s quite capable of a check-raise with air. In fact, I’d put him as the type to make a small lead out with trip tens, and a check-raise with something else (say, 77 or 88 or, most likely, AK/QJ).
Hero raises [$20 USD] (i.e., another $10 raise)
So, let’s put him to the test
Villain2 calls [$10 USD]
This smells of AK to me. $56 in pot and I have $60 behind.
** Dealing Turn ** [ 5♣ ]
Villain2 checks.
Hero is all-In.
No point in pissing around here. If by some miracle opponent has QQ, I might even get him to fold. Although AK is still my favourite.
Villain2 folds.
Hero does not show cards.
Hero wins $116.55 USD
Only a $28 win, but satisfying.
But the following hand was the most satisfying of all.
$100 USD NL Texas Hold'em
Seat 2 is the button
Total number of players : 10
Seat 1: drpoker443 ( $19.50 USD )
Seat 2: grebgokz ( $14.98 USD )
Seat 3: sinsyn ( $21.15 USD )
Seat 4: Apollo0208 ( $98.18 USD )
Seat 5: StevieWard ( $82.70 USD )
Seat 6: hollinz111 ( $129.04 USD )
Seat 7: Hero ( $97.50 USD )
Seat 8: Cifer11 ( $109.03 USD )
Seat 9: xXPoRtStArXx ( $56.79 USD )
Seat 10: Villain3 ( $52.80 USD )
sinsyn posts small blind [$0.50 USD].
Apollo0208 posts big blind [$1 USD].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Hero [ J♠ J◊ ]
StevieWard calls [$1 USD]
hollinz111 folds.
Hero raises [$5 USD]
Raise of a single limper to $5 or raise to $3 tend to be my bets here, depending on the tone of the table and the size of stacks.
Cifer11 folds.
xXPoRtStArXx folds.
Villain3 calls [$5 USD]
drpoker443 folds.
grebgokz folds.
sinsyn folds.
Apollo0208 folds.
StevieWard calls [$4 USD]
Three-handed with JJ isn’t much fun.....
** Dealing Flop ** [ 6♠, 2♡, 8♣ ]
...although flops like that make it better. But there’s still a fair chance that I’m facing a set (or there would be on No IQ). I did the maths on this and the chance of a cold-caller behind you having a set when three low cards flop is much higher than I instinctively thought.
StevieWard checks.
Hero bets [$12 USD]
Villain3 calls [$12 USD]
This guy is one of those “is he loose or is he tight?” players. Something like 23%/8% on not-too-big a sample. Given that it’s Party, I lean towards this being more likely a chase than a slow-play. But the board is good for a slow-play.
StevieWard folds.
** Dealing Turn ** [ 8♠ ]
This is a good card for me because it gives me an excuse to check a decent hand – i.e., a check is not an invitation to bet (and it also makes 88 in opponent's hand much less likely). There’s also a chance that opponent actually has an eight. But I’m in a tricky spot here. If Opponent bets a smallish amount, I’m calling, and I think I’ll call a bet of up to two-thirds the pot on the river from opponent, but no more.
Hero checks.
Villain3 checks.
I can’t see this guy being good enough to slow-play an eight here. If I had to guess, I’d say he has an overpair, but that could be QQ, TT or JJ.
** Dealing River ** [ J♣ ]
Well, it isn’t JJ. Now I have to maximize my return.
Hero bets [$15 USD]
I thought about this quite hard. My bet has to be small enough to look like it might be an attempted steal (Could generate a raise from QQ? Unlikely if opponent didn’t bet it on turn, I admit) but big enough to get a call from a losing hand. But things worked out even better than that.
Villain3 is all-In for $35.80.
Hero calls [$20.80 USD]
Woo hoo. He obviously tried a ‘resteal’.
Hero shows [ J♠, J◊ ]a full house, Jacks full of Eights.
Villain3 doesn't show [ A◊, K♠ ]a pair of Eights.
Hero wins $109.10 USD from the main pot with a full house, Jacks full of Eights.
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no subject
Date: 2007-10-20 10:06 pm (UTC)Doctor Shipman.... errrrrrr.
The Moroccan family were whiter than you think, which is why their child was pale. Many Moroccans are Caucasians due to the former Arab Empire. Sorry to point that out to someone who is often unnecessarily PC at times.
Nice to see the world order snapping back into synch. No England football team in Euro '08. No Webb Ellis trophy. And Tiger Hamilton will arse it all up in Brasil tomorrow.
JayBee. xxx
no subject
Date: 2007-10-20 10:26 pm (UTC)Being of genuine light-skinned nordic stock myself, guaranteed to develop a melanoma if I am out in the sun for longer than 15 seconds, I see as dark-skinned anyone whose genetic make-up stems from south of Maidstone .... :-)
PJ
Incidentally, and pointlessly
Date: 2007-10-20 11:02 pm (UTC)And I take offence at this feeble "I get melanomas coz I'm nordic" rubbish. Me, I'm Anglo-Norman with dubbings of Dutch. I tan quite nicely, thank you. I was even blond for fifteen seconds as a two-year-old. Us Norse guys, we can take anything you can throw at us -- including the sun.
"Heart of Zambia?" Suck it up, Joseph ... Please treat us to "Devilled kidneys of Malawi" next.
There is no such thing as "make-up" south of Maidstone. There are merely tanning parlours. Probably filled with cute, blonde, underage Moroccans.
Well, it's a dream, and it's better than the reality south of Maidstone.
Nice Try
Date: 2007-10-20 11:12 pm (UTC)I look forwards to reading James' shame-faced blatherings when Hamilton finishes the race second and wins the drivers' championship. Not because I care about F1, and not because I have any animosity towards JayBee.
There are certain certainties in life, and this certain certainty is certain.
Can't be bothered to watch it, though. I'll enjoy it through reading the Telegraph on the way to Bracknell tomorrow.
Re: Nice Try
Date: 2007-10-21 05:11 pm (UTC)[smug]
You were saying?
[/smug]
JayBee xxx
Re: Nice Try
Date: 2007-10-21 10:07 pm (UTC)Well, that's why I don't bet on sports any more. I'll just go and blather to myself in a private corne for a while, if that's all right with you.
Blong?
Date: 2007-10-20 10:50 pm (UTC)First Depp, and now this?
Blong. Blong, blong, blong, blong, blong.
Yes, I like the sound of that.
By the way (or btw should you prefer), has anybody else noticed that the McCann bandwagon has now been taken over by the bint's mother? I'm trying to ignore all of this, on the grounds that if it's a front page story for either the Sun or the Daily Mail, it won't be something I'd touch with a barge-pole, but I was, despite myself, intrigued with La Dowager McCann's explanation of why things are going pear-shaped:
"If my daughter had bigger breasts, the papers would take more notice."
WTF?
Can we ever get back to reality from here? Or was that a glorious concept, lost somewhere in the eighties?
no subject
Date: 2007-10-21 09:24 am (UTC)Andy.