River hunting
May. 24th, 2009 12:00 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
peterbirksAs I wrote a while ago, I've been looking hard at my play on the river. Here's an example this morning where I think that a bet is plus EV, but many players (including myself in the past) might check.
$100 USD NL Texas Hold'em – Sunday morning, Party Poker
Table Table 127224 (Real Money)
Seat 8 is the button
Total number of players : 10
Seat 4: Blue7Summer ( $106.83 USD )
Seat 3: Hero ( $104.43 USD )
Seat 7: Its_Gooood ( $36.69 USD )
Seat 1: ToxicFish123 ( $26.43 USD )
Seat 8: badfish52 ( $100 USD )
Seat 5: itteronja ( $140.61 USD )
Seat 6: klemy666 ( $11.80 USD )
Seat 2: physiorules ( $33 USD )
Seat 10: po1ntblank ( $19.22 USD )
Seat 9: Villain ( $107.90 USD ) (66%/8% Agg factor 0.8)
Villain posts small blind [$0.50 USD].
po1ntblank posts big blind [$1 USD].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Hero [ 8♠ 8♣; ]
ToxicFish123 folds
physiorules folds
Hero raises [$3 USD]
Blue7Summer folds
itteronja folds
klemy666 folds
Its_Gooood folds
badfish52 folds
Villain calls [$2.50 USD]
po1ntblank folds
** Dealing Flop ** [ 2♠, 6♡; 4◊; ]
Villain checks
Hero bets [$5 USD]
Villain calls [$5 USD]
** Dealing Turn ** [ 9◊; ]
Villain checks
Hero bets [$16 USD]
Villain calls [$16 USD]
** Dealing River ** [ 9♡; ]
Villain checks
It's tempting to check behind here, but opponent looks loose-passive, and he's just won a bit of money. His stats make a check-raise on the river unlikely. If one comes, I probably fold anything much more than a mini-reraise. But I really think he's on something like 77 or A6, something like that.
Hero bets [$15 USD]
Villain calls [$15 USD]
Hero shows [ 8♠, 8♣; ]two pairs, Nines and Eights.
Villain doesn't show [ 5♠, 6◊; ]two pairs, Nines and Sixes.
Woo hoo.
Hero wins $76 USD from the main pot with two pairs, Nines and Eights.
These really are the hands where you have to squeeze out the extra value. No-one throws money at you any more (well, not often), so just one of these hands every couple of hours (with, say, an EV of three or four dollars) is good both for overall profit and for metagame purposes, because you have shown that you can bet on the river for value, as well as with v strong hands and v weak ones.
$100 USD NL Texas Hold'em – Sunday morning, Party Poker
Table Table 127224 (Real Money)
Seat 8 is the button
Total number of players : 10
Seat 4: Blue7Summer ( $106.83 USD )
Seat 3: Hero ( $104.43 USD )
Seat 7: Its_Gooood ( $36.69 USD )
Seat 1: ToxicFish123 ( $26.43 USD )
Seat 8: badfish52 ( $100 USD )
Seat 5: itteronja ( $140.61 USD )
Seat 6: klemy666 ( $11.80 USD )
Seat 2: physiorules ( $33 USD )
Seat 10: po1ntblank ( $19.22 USD )
Seat 9: Villain ( $107.90 USD ) (66%/8% Agg factor 0.8)
Villain posts small blind [$0.50 USD].
po1ntblank posts big blind [$1 USD].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Hero [ 8♠ 8♣; ]
ToxicFish123 folds
physiorules folds
Hero raises [$3 USD]
Blue7Summer folds
itteronja folds
klemy666 folds
Its_Gooood folds
badfish52 folds
Villain calls [$2.50 USD]
po1ntblank folds
** Dealing Flop ** [ 2♠, 6♡; 4◊; ]
Villain checks
Hero bets [$5 USD]
Villain calls [$5 USD]
** Dealing Turn ** [ 9◊; ]
Villain checks
Hero bets [$16 USD]
Villain calls [$16 USD]
** Dealing River ** [ 9♡; ]
Villain checks
It's tempting to check behind here, but opponent looks loose-passive, and he's just won a bit of money. His stats make a check-raise on the river unlikely. If one comes, I probably fold anything much more than a mini-reraise. But I really think he's on something like 77 or A6, something like that.
Hero bets [$15 USD]
Villain calls [$15 USD]
Hero shows [ 8♠, 8♣; ]two pairs, Nines and Eights.
Villain doesn't show [ 5♠, 6◊; ]two pairs, Nines and Sixes.
Woo hoo.
Hero wins $76 USD from the main pot with two pairs, Nines and Eights.
These really are the hands where you have to squeeze out the extra value. No-one throws money at you any more (well, not often), so just one of these hands every couple of hours (with, say, an EV of three or four dollars) is good both for overall profit and for metagame purposes, because you have shown that you can bet on the river for value, as well as with v strong hands and v weak ones.
