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A little bit chilly this morning, for the first time this Winter. Opponents of global warming fail to realize that all you have to do is buy some property about 100 feet above sea level and a few miles from the coast anywahere in northern Europe. Then in 100 years' time your descendants will have an ultra-valuable sea-view property in a temperate climate.

Meanwhile the poor bastards who bought properties in Portugal will have a desert-infested rat-hole that no-one in their right mind who wasn't a gecko lizard would touch.

I meant to go to bed early last night and I wwas indeed tired, but then I got addicted to trying to work out the main tune and the accompanying chords to The Good The Bad And The Queen's track Herculean. Not easy when you aren't even sure of the key (B flat major? E minor?).

It's when it comes to things like this that my obsessive nature gets full rein. It's the same with coding, or other things computer-related. I can stay up until 8am attempting to fix a bug in the code or sort out a software/hardware fault.

And so it was with the notes to Herculean. I got most of it by the end (Albarn writes remarkably simple tunes, considering how catchy they are), apart from the the opening four organ notes. Oh, and the bass line, but that's up on the web, as are the guitar tabs.

So, next thing I know, it's midnight and I'm crawling into bed with the knowledge that I have to be up in five and a half hours.

But I still made it to the gym today. Taking it easy, not pushing the weights anywhere near where I was last November. Just getting back into the groove.

And I strongly doubt it, but if anyone knows what those opening four organ notes are, I'd be grateful (C, E, B flat, D? Something like that?)

+++++

My tentative plays at 6-max have been going okay, although my style is so different from that which I imagined it would be that I am hesitant to publicise it until I've got 50,000 hands under my belt and have proved that it works. It may be specific to the low-stakes early evening games that I am playing. Certainly whenever I have come across a player that I would define as "good" (looks laggy but clearly knows what he is doing) then I have to shift styles to counter-play him

The more I play the more convinced I am that there are a considerable number of successful styles and that these differ markedly. An 8%/0% player could win in the long run, provided he is comfortable with the style and knows how to play post-flop (and he plays in loose games that suit these numbers). Similarly, I reckon a 40%/25% player might win as well, with the same proviso that he can play post flop, and he plays in games where only a few players see the flop and many of these give up when they miss.

A greater proportion of players with these numbers will lose than will those who are 17%/11% or thereabouts, but pre-flop percentages (and post-flop aggression factors) only tell you so much.

++++++

While listening to Carter USM on my Rio at the gym, it struck me how much they have influenced Kasabian. I was only reminded of that by having watched the latter last night on Live At Abbey Road. I also watched Josh Groban for the second time. A bit Smoothie FM-ish, but he has a remarkable voice.

Global warm, golden boy, game theory

Date: 2007-01-23 03:22 pm (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
Liked your comments on global warming. However, my 'descendants' at present consist of one six-year-old boy who on present form will be much more successful in life than his poor father. So he can damned well buy his own accommodation.

We went to Sitges on Saturday (when the temperature passed 18 degrees), and were slightly startled by two little girls leaning out of a car window, waving madly and yelling "Marc!" He took little notice; he's already used to this sort of thing.

"The more I play the more convinced I am that there are a considerable number of successful styles and that these differ markedly."

I'm reminded of reading up on elementary game theory many years ago; in some situations, it recommends selecting randomly between a number of alternative strategies. As you know, I don't have a clue about poker, but I wonder vaguely if that might fit your situation?

-- Jonathan

Re: Global warm, golden boy, game theory

Date: 2007-01-23 07:29 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] peterbirks.livejournal.com
Yes, game theory in poker dictates that you should sometimes act in different ways in the same situation to optimize your profit. The percentage of times which you should bluff a missed flush, for example, can be worked out mathematically and depends on the size of the pot.

Of course, if your opponent always calls (or always folds) you can throw game theory out of the window and act accordingly.

What I was referring to was kind of a derivative of that. Some people will raise, say, 20% of the time pre-flop in a certain situation, while other players will raise 80% of the time with that hand. Similarly their calls and raises can have very different "attributable ranges", but just because player A always folds a certain hand and player B always raises with it, does not necessarily make one player right and the other wrong.

PJ


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