Back to the poker question

The story so far. It's heading towards the prize money stage of a tourney and your hero is relatively short-stacked. He gets dealt Aces and two people fold before him. Plan the play.

Woody said raise, while miserable git suggested a rase of 3BBs (equal to half my stack).

I'm afraid that I had only considered three options; call, raise 1BB (600) or go all-in (3645). As Mike comments, the 3B raise of 1800 seems to me to get most of the disadvantages of an all-in raise and hardly any of the advantages.

Anyway, if I raise, I win the pot there and then. I don't get a caller. Result, plus 1350.

I reckon that if I flat-call there is about a 20% chance I will be raised all in behind me (or by the SB/BB). That's the ideal scenario. I get my Double through an average of 60% of the time. EV = + 2600

There is about a 30% chance that I will be called by one player behind me. My EV probably falls to about +2200

And there is a half-chance that everyone will fold behind me. EV about + 1500. That gets me something like an EV of 1950 through a call compared to something like 1600 to an all-in raise. But all these are guesstimates.

There is a strong argument for the small raise, particularly with my small stack. It looks a little like a cheap attempt to get the blinds and antes.


Anyway, I call, and everyone folds round to the BB, who checks.

The flop comes QJ3 two spades. I have the Ace of Spades and the Ace of clubs.

There is now 2175 in the pot and I have 3045 in chips.

The Big BLind (who has 7000 in chips) checks.

Do I (a) check
(b) bet part of my stack
(c) Go all-in?